Global Packaging Company

Capex Strategy Project

Scope

Upon request from the CEO, a team from Weissr Capex performed a Capex Strategy project together with the client’s project team. The project covered over 20 pulp and/or paper mills plus several dozen converting plants, with a combined replacement value exceeding $20 billion.

Business Needs

  • Understanding Pitfalls: The CEO and his management team, after reading “the Tail that wags the dog,” recognized pitfalls in the capital allocation process historically repeated in the industry.

  • New Capex Strategy: Gather the “top 30” decision makers to establish a new Capex strategy with detailed site plans.

  • Common Commitment: Ensure the team’s common commitment to the strategy to guarantee its implementation.

  • Avoiding Pitfalls: Achieve an understanding of the pitfalls and how to avoid them.

Weissr’s Approach

  • Comprehensive Cash Flow Model: Established a detailed model including Capex needs, volumes, prices, variable and fixed costs, and an energy model.

  • Base Alternative: Created a “do nothing” base alternative.

  • Strategic Initiatives: Developed 30+ large strategic initiatives.

  • Strategic Alternatives: Created over 100 full-scale strategic alternatives based on combinations of strategic building blocks.

  • Optimization Tools: Continuously updated product allocation optimization tools to reflect learnings.

  • Process Integration: Ingrained Weissr® learnings throughout the process.

Client’s Result

  • Endorsed Strategy: A long-term Recommendation for Action (RfA) was universally endorsed.

  • Increased Value: The RfA predicted a +40% increase in future discounted cash flow.

  • Swift Implementation: Strategy implementation began only months after project closure.

  • Positive Market Reaction: The stock reacted positively to major decisions communicated to the market.

  • Mindset Shift: Fundamental change in the company’s mindset regarding Capex prioritization.

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